THE NEXT 200 YEARS
A Scenario for America and the World
by Herman Kahn, et. all
(William Morrow and Company, Inc;
1976)
ISBN 0-688-08029-4 - paperback edition
The Difficult Long Term Environment chapter:
p175 // ... it is necessazry to improve substantially the simulations and calculations of natural heat-balance changes as well as the effects from man's activities in order to achieve sufficient understanding of these phenomena. And
there would seem to be plenty of time to do this -- and even to take corrective action if necessary. \\
Yes, the future is just not what it used to be
Now in 2010 there is not enough time to continue to study; time has come to do something. And the One World Economy (there is just one, you know -- I know i get personally pinched when Greece has an enocomic crises -- but it isn't through the 20 Denarius coin I hold
p 176 // This increase in CO2, concievably has one main effect -- the trapping of long-wave infrared radiation from the surface of the earth ... The observed increase in average global temperature of about 2 degrees Fahrenheit btaween 1850 and 1940 was attributed to this cause (fossil fuel). ... It has been calculated that a doubling of the CO2 content would lead to an increase in average temperature of 4 to 6 degrees Fahrenheit, but it seems unlikely now that the carbon dioxide content will ever double unless mankind wants it to happen ... a carbon dioxide catastrophe does not appear to be imminent. \\
In 2010 the catastrophe is upon us.
p 174 // ... a 3 percent annual growth in energy consumption could liberate enough heat to cause the oceans to boil after about 350 years. \\
Please note that 350 is several election cycles down the road, even today.