Democrat wins State House seat in deep red Kentucky

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Democrat wins State House seat in deep red Kentucky

Postby Sandy » Tue Feb 20, 2018 11:07 pm

http://thehill.com/homenews/state-watch ... -49-points

Another Democrat wins a state house seat in a special election in a deep red district of a deep red state. Dems are 37-4 in special elections in red states since trump.
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Re: Democrat wins State House seat in deep red Kentucky

Postby KeithE » Wed Feb 21, 2018 7:30 am

Sandy wrote:http://thehill.com/homenews/state-watch/374777-dem-wins-ky-state-house-seat-in-district-trump-won-by-49-points

Another Democrat wins a state house seat in a special election in a deep red district of a deep red state. Dems are 37-4 in special elections in red states since trump.


No doubt Dems are making an impressive record with specials elections since Trump was elected. But I don't think it has been that good (37-4 in red states). I found this in your linked article:
But in special elections during the Trump era, a clear pattern has emerged. Of the 98 special legislative elections over the last year, 37 were held in districts that were contested by both parties both in the specials and in the last regularly scheduled election. In 27 of those 37 seats, Democrats have seen their vote shares increase.

Nothing about a 37-4 record in red states. Do you have your reference? Is it counting state legislature Special Elections or what?

Going further I found this record of 34 special elections in 2017. There are a few more in 2018. By my count 24 have been in “red states” and of those the Dems have won 14 (14-10 not 37-4). Over all states (red or blue) Dems have a 23-11 record in 2017.

Dems are doing well, but lets not overstate the case.
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Re: Democrat wins State House seat in deep red Kentucky

Postby William Thornton » Wed Feb 21, 2018 8:34 am

Yeah. The winner was a former incumbent who lost by 150 votes last go around. The loser was the widow of the incumbent, a pastor and accused sex offender (the victim in the allegation being a member of his congregation) who committed suicide. Only in America.

Congratulations. Dems are now up to 37 seats out of 100 in the Kentucky legislature. Not quite a majority, would you say?
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Re: Democrat wins State House seat in deep red Kentucky

Postby Sandy » Wed Feb 21, 2018 8:43 am

KeithE wrote:
Sandy wrote:http://thehill.com/homenews/state-watch/374777-dem-wins-ky-state-house-seat-in-district-trump-won-by-49-points

Another Democrat wins a state house seat in a special election in a deep red district of a deep red state. Dems are 37-4 in special elections in red states since trump.


No doubt Dems are making an impressive record with specials elections since Trump was elected. But I don't think it has been that good (37-4 in red states). I found this in your linked article:
But in special elections during the Trump era, a clear pattern has emerged. Of the 98 special legislative elections over the last year, 37 were held in districts that were contested by both parties both in the specials and in the last regularly scheduled election. In 27 of those 37 seats, Democrats have seen their vote shares increase.

Nothing about a 37-4 record in red states. Do you have your reference? Is it counting state legislature Special Elections or what?

Going further I found this record of 34 special elections in 2017. There are a few more in 2018. By my count 24 have been in “red states” and of those the Dems have won 14 (14-10 not 37-4). Over all states (red or blue) Dems have a 23-11 record in 2017.

Dems are doing well, but lets not overstate the case.


The 34-7 record is in red states, in districts that were considered either predominantly Republican or "purple". Lawrence O'Donnell had a list on his program last night. His reference is to state legislatures or congressional elections.

http://www.msnbc.com/the-last-word
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Re: Democrat wins State House seat in deep red Kentucky

Postby Sandy » Wed Feb 21, 2018 8:44 am

William Thornton wrote:Yeah. The winner was a former incumbent who lost by 150 votes last go around. The loser was the widow of the incumbent, a pastor and accused sex offender (the victim in the allegation being a member of his congregation) who committed suicide. Only in America.

Congratulations. Dems are now up to 37 seats out of 100 in the Kentucky legislature. Not quite a majority, would you say?


Not yet. But at the rate its going, it won't be long. November is my guess.
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Re: Democrat wins State House seat in deep red Kentucky

Postby KeithE » Wed Feb 21, 2018 8:55 am

William Thornton wrote:Yeah. The winner was a former incumbent who lost by 150 votes last go around. The loser was the widow of the incumbent, a pastor and accused sex offender (the victim in the allegation being a member of his congregation) who committed suicide. Only in America.

Congratulations. Dems are now up to 37 seats out of 100 in the Kentucky legislature. Not quite a majority, would you say?


You are accurate. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kentucky_House_of_Representatives 62 Repubs, 37 Dems, 1 vacant after this election.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kentucky_Senate 27 Repubs vs 11 Dems
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