by Sandy » Thu Feb 11, 2016 11:48 am
Honestly, Bernie Sanders has come out of New Hampshire with some momentum. But it's New Hampshire, and even though its an early primary state, like Iowa, it's not really representative of a cross section of Democrats, or Republicans for that matter. Hillary still has double digit percentage leads in virtually all of the remaining states, just about everything including through Super Tuesday. I don't think it will be close enough for the super delegates to matter.
On the GOP side, while Trump is the "frontrunner," his win in New Hampshire, combined with his standing in the polls at between 20 and 30% on average, is not enough to win enough delegates to get the nomination on the first ballot. And as the field has winnowed, his numbers haven't gone up. Looks like Bush and Kasich were the biggest benefactors of the dropouts after Iowa, and I'd guess that Fiorina and Christie's supporters will gravitate to more establishment candidates as well. The RNC wants Bush in there so bad, they can taste it.