One quickie before bed. McNider and Christy (from UA Huntsville) took some old model predictions done in 1979 and projected over 34 years. Below is a composite model vs measurement done for the AR4 (aka as IPCC 2007) projected out 13 years. Much less of a wild conjecture (13 years not 34 years) and with much improved climate modeling.
You can immediately see that the measurements and models (in gray) are much more inline than the old modeling Christy/McNider found in their archive). So do not be fooled about the state of current modeling of air temperature. It is highly improved. Read about how at . The trend is at about 0.14C/decade or 1.4C per century = 2.5F per century by 2114 (if there is no further feedbacks bending the curve upward some more).
One wonders why Christy didn’t use UAH satellite DATA that they were toting as late as 1998 which said the lower troposphere was ~level before their calculational error was caught by a fellow data analyst. Read about it and subsequent errors . So now McNidier/Christy are gong back to 1979 to make the key figure in this WSJ article. I don’t know who McNider is, other than he now works at the UAH Atmospheric Sciences group, but Christy should know better than trot out some old computer models data when newer and better information is available.
I guess God must be mad (
) at McNider and Christy (Huntsvillains) as we are seeing a large thunder storm with a tornado sighting about 30 miles away). 70F was the high today after 5” of snow last week.
More to say and plot (especially how computer models have understated ocean data) but it will have to wait.
Informed by Data.
Driven by the SPIRIT and JESUS’s Example.
Promoting the Kingdom of GOD on Earth.